First: the last few decades suggest that we want the benefits of a modern, advanced society but we refuse to align our governmental practices and our tax base with that desire. We want things for which we (especially the middle and upper classes) have no intention of ever paying. The services we want are good things to have (access to health care, for instance) and in my view there's no problem with government at all levels being part of implementation; the trouble is that we refuse to pay for what we want. This is a problem that really could sink the republic: when government fails to deliver the goods demanded, Americans may then turn to extremists who make wild promises and promptly forget all about them when they attain power. Rich as we are collectively, it seems as if the slice of our material means that we are willing to dedicate to the social goods we want isn't sufficient.
Or consider the following if you don't like the above argument about percentages: neither do we seem very resourceful in finding ways to come up with the necessary money without resorting to painful taxation – how about doing away with most components of "the war on drugs," at least insofar as that benighted effort focuses on possession and use of marijuana? (I don't use the stuff – never have; I just don't consider its use socially destructive, especially compared with alcohol. And I don't say this in wide-eyed innocence of the so-called drug culture: hard drugs like heroin and meth leave a trail of individual and collective destruction in their wake. They should not simply be legalized.) My guess is that refraining from such foolish, doomed pursuits would net us a sum in the tens of billions per year, perhaps enough to pay for a huge chunk of our health-care needs. Furthermore, if we simply adopted the philosophy that only the violent and otherwise most despicable of offenders belong in a cage, we could save an even greater sum. Spending thousands to try and then incarcerate someone for stealing a few items from a convenience store makes no sense whatsoever – surely there are better ways to deal with such bad behavior without condoning it. Our obsession with such nonsense stems less from stinginess and antigovernmentalism than from a failure of both common sense and compassion, and it costs us dearly. And I'm not even considering the elephant in the room, our military spending habits – I am all for a strong and thoroughly modern military, but we spend as if we are preparing for a combined full-scale Klingon - Borg invasion.
Second: the federal legislative branch is scarcely up to the task of dealing with the above problems of social will. Cloture in the Senate has gone from an occasional procedural tactic to a deadly weapon wielded by the minority party against the hopes of the majority. Those of us who live in California are now suffering through an extreme version of this debility: it takes a 2/3 vote in California to pass a budget. And since it's almost impossible to attain a 2/3 majority in today's polarized environment, nothing can be done most of the time. There are a few procedural tricks, but evidently they don't work very well. The Governator and the Republicans refuse to raise taxes in a time of recession (which is understandable), and the Democrats are set against gutting education and key social programs (also understandable). So here we are, waiting for inveterate opponents to come together and agree to a compromise they both loathe. We are now issuing IOU's that the major banks no longer want to redeem before maturity. The more fragmented and uncivil towards one another we become, the more damaging are all demands for legislative supermajorities.
My question, then, is as follows: might it best suit a weakened republic (one perhaps, alas, in a period of decline?) to quicken its upper legislative branch, making it a 51/49 proposition to pass legislation in both houses? Or at to least make cloture a 55/45 or 53/47 proposition? We need to do some big things in near-desperate times, and the way congress presently works, I'm not confident that we can do them, Big Al and Old Arlen notwithstanding. It is well and good to imagine wise men in periwigs playing the role of Lords to a mercurial House, but I'm not convinced that the Senate, as it now behaves, won't be the republic's ruin. What do you think? Is 60/40 cloture antiquated, or sort of like giving a box of loaded rifles to a roomful of lunatics? Or is it still possible within that constraint for an effective president to do some old-fashioned LBJ-style bully-pulpiting, arm-twisting and wheeler-dealing, thereby getting some big things done when he knows he has nearly 2/3 of the people on his side?
Excellent post dino. As I was reading I thought 55/45 and then boom - you said it.
ReplyDeleteI don't know if that's really the best path to take or not. Clearly things aren't working and something has to change. You mention "LBJ-style bully pulpiting," which I don't think Obama has really tried. That's not his style, of course, but he could probably stand to take a stab at it anyway. Undoubtedly real leadership in the Senate (Harry Reid should not be in charge of a little league team, let alone the U.S. Senate) would help as well.
But when the will of people is so woefully difficult bring to fruition, a more systemic change might be needed. It's certainly disappointing where things stand right now.
American contradictions - we still insist that we need to get much "tougher" on crime although we lead the world in incarcerations and we insist that those effeminate Euro-socialists are soft on crime even though they have far less crime along with far milder sentencing and no death penalty.
ReplyDeleteNo, just because mammals gained an accidental advantage in the Tertiary, it doesn't mean they can think worth a damn.
A two-thirds majority seems to be an onerous threshold to cross just to pass a state budget. One obvious question: Are procedural rules established under the California State Constitution or by the legislature?
ReplyDeleteAt the Federal level, for instance, a two-thirds majority is required to amend the Constitution but there is no specification establishing procedural rules for the Senate. If memory serves, the Senate decided to lower the cloture threshold from two-thirds (67 votes) to three-fifths (60 votes) sometime in the mid 1970s. Procedural rules remained unchallenged until the Bush/Cheney years when Senate Republicans threatened to use the so-called “nuclear option” to break Democrat filibusters of Federal judicial appointees.
This time, the majorities are reversed and the Democrats are certainly in a position to threaten the “nuclear option” … IF … they have the will and the party discipline to pull it off.
However, the political pendulum will inevitably swing again, and the Democrats may find themselves on the receiving end.
Lets face it: Democracy is inefficient and imperfect. I think it was designed to be this way.
It also demands sanity, intelligence and wisdom from its participants and because we have been playing with fire by enlisting the loonies, dullards and losers we may meet the same fate as the French revolution and wind up with Joe the Generalissimo as an emperor.
ReplyDeleteAn interesting comment, Captain Fogg, one I thought I was making myself by implication. Some weeks ago, there was this exchange between TAO and myself:
ReplyDeleteTAO: “I think why our political system fails us is because it does not reflect us … ”
Octopus: “But I believe our political system DOES reflect us, and I say this as a cynic and pessimist. The issue is not how well the system serves us but how well we serve our system. The innocuous cell phone does not snap nasty pictures of people unawares, but nasty people abuse technology to do nasty things on the sneak. Our system of government is not designed to abuse people, but people do abuse our system. And if we as citizens have failed our system, surely this failure does reflect upon us [my bold]. Shall I elaborate, or will this suffice?
TAO: “Yes, please elaborate ... because I believe you are on the verge of making one of the greatest arguments for conservatism that has ever been made ... so, please continue ...”
Perhaps I misunderstood TAO’s argument or perhaps I was being misunderstood. In any event, I didn’t reply at the time (I was getting ready for a trip) but perhaps Bloggingdino’s post is a good place to resume this discussion.
What I thought my comment had captured was the Archimedes point around which conservative and liberal viewpoints pivot … certainly not an argument favoring the "see" over the "saw."
Or to frame this in “Swash Speak,” if an ignorant, bigoted, corrupt citizenry abuse the system with customary chicanery, surely the result does reflect the participants … even if the consequences are unintended.
If I can offer one observation about the human species from a cephalopod perspective, people do not agree to voluntary change unless/until they are motivated by excruciating pain ... and even then ...