Wednesday, April 14, 2010

Another new black

My local Tea Party is gearing up for another froth and drool session on tax day although at least half of them know by now they won't be paying Federal Income Taxes this time or at least less than they paid the year before. You can be damned sure there won't be any of the local Billionaires (there are quite a few) amongst the cracker crumbs.

The Dow is over 11,000 as I write this, investor optimism boosted by earnings reports and economic data. Inflation remains contained at one tenth of one percent, despite the solemn assurances of Weimar style runaway. Retail sales continue to climb more than expected as the economic expansion continues.

"The amount of diesel fuel bought using credit cards at U.S. truck stops increased in March to the highest level in more than a year, indicating the recovery is broadening beyond manufacturing "
says Bloomberg and truck tonnage, which accounts for 68 percent of freight transported in the U.S., increased on a year-over-year basis in February for a third straight month, as truckers benefit from inventory rebuilding, increased exports and stronger sales.

It's getting harder not to call this a recovery, but it would certainly be hard to associate the news with the kind of implosion into economic chaos a Marxist economy and tyrannical Pol Pot killing fields some of the more extreme viewpoints have been forecasting.
"Bleak is the New Black"
writes Newsweek, but it's in the context of the increasing disparity between the sound and fury and the tale told by economic data.
"America is coming back stronger, better, and faster than nearly anyone expected—and faster than most of its international rivals."
and at present, the Dow is up over 70% in the last year. As to whether we would have turned around earlier if there had been no bailout, no stimulus package and a program of austerity, tax cuts for billionaires and continued deregulation as the Republicans demanded after 1929 -- it seems harder still to believe that we would be talking about recovery as anything but a cruel joke just now. Even so, despair, panic, and even hysteria are the stock in trade of the Fox News doomers and gloomers - the same folks who blamed pessimistic Liberals for "talking down" the solid economy of the Bush years. No, certainly a continued, uninterrupted recovery is hardly a sure thing, but more balanced Republican observers may be beginning to wish the fear mongering Murdoch would reign in his dogs a bit tighter before American voters realize that the last thing the Republicans seem to want is what they want: a recovery.

8 comments:

  1. And the Democrat won HUGE in the first U.S. House election of 2010: Florida's 19th district, a special election. It was supposed to be a "referendum on healthcare reform" and the Democrat won 62% to 32%.

    Would be nice for our media to notice but I realize I'm asking an awful lot of the poor dears.

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  2. You're right - the silence is stunning, but of course it's a blue district by tradition. Mine will still be teabagging when the Dow is up to 15000 and minimum wage jobs offer dental benefits.

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  3. The Mock Turtle - Reeling and Writhing, of course, to begin with, and then the different branches of arithmetic -- Ambition, Distraction, Uglification, and Derision.

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  4. The Rock Turtle - Well I looked at my watch and it was time to go
    The bandleader said " We ain't playing no more "
    And we was reelin', reelin' and a rockin'
    We was reelin' and a rockin'
    Well till the break of dawn

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  5. Oh, yes, "...when the dow hits 15000 and minimum wage jobs offer dental benefits" if that isn't a utopian vision of socialism in the United States!

    The reality is that a jobless recovery is not a recovery at all...its just consolidation of the centralization of wealth...

    More americans are out on the streets, more americans are hungry, and more americans are dropping out..of society, of the work force, and out of school than ever before...

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  6. I think Chairman Tao makes a good point -- we have scraped through this time, but the deplorable concentration of wealth that has been coming on for several decades has by no means gone away.

    Well, God preserve us from free-marketeers who believe so deeply in the wonders of capitalism that they would sooner drive the economy over a cliff than admit that it might just need a bit of course-correction now and then.

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  7. Yes, it is a good point, but beware of extrapolation. Jobs are always the last thing to recover, unless of course you have a world war to provide them and we don't.

    Of course our total lack of education here in the Cracker Republic isn't going to help us if those jobs require being able to read, write, or in many cases be in possession of front teeth.

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  8. "they would sooner drive the economy over a cliff than admit that it might just need a bit of course-correction now and then."

    I've been trying without much success to make those two points: that a dogmatic approach to economics results in supporting bad things "on principle" and that the intrinsic self correcting factors in a market, in a car or in an airplane, do not obviate the need for a pilot.

    A pendulum swings, but under certain conditions of resonance the swings don't die down, they increase until something comes apart. Easy to understand in physical systems, but when it comes to economics it's heresy and out come the hot irons and the rack while the priests chant "smaller government, smaller government"

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