Thursday, October 10, 2013

Consider the source

There is no shortage of polls about the Shutdown, the Affordable Care Act and President Obama, mony of them showing completely opposite results.  I got a survey from something called Newsmax.com this morning showing that respondents very strongly blame Obama and the Congressional Democrats for the shutdown and like the Affordable Care Act even less than they like Judas Iscariot. Newsmax of course, although it covers general interest stories, seems to have more inflammatory and  paranoid items that Chips Ahoy has bits of chocolate. One has to consider the source. One has to remember that voluntary polls are not scientific.

That's hardly the results one sees in the probably more objective Gallup polls that show America's opinion of  the Republican party at a lower ebb than it was during the last Republican forced shutdown in 1999.  It was 31% favorable then.  Now it's 28%. There has been a precipitous drop in approval since the beginning of 2013. Perhaps it was the end of an era after all.

With so much effort being made to portray Obama and "his policies" as being increasingly rejected, it's interesting to note that at least according to Gallup, unfavorable ratings of the GOP are a bit higher than they were at the end of the Cheney/Bush era and the economy was losing altitude faster than a coyote running off a cliff.  61% when Obama was elected, 62% now and in a country so heavily intransigent it is nothing short of amazing that lifelong Republicans I've talked to of late don't want to be called that any more.

The obvious seems invisible to the entrenched opinion shouters and faux news sources. Glenn Beck all but spits out his tonsils execrating his array of standard demons and everywhere you look are polls and surveys with as much credibility as goat entrails.  I suspect we're getting to theoretical low point of public approval for the Tea Twinkies and the corporate backed opinion shouters, given that insanity is not as subject to persuasion as reason is.  Many would still listen to Beck and Bachmann and their ilk despite all the spinning heads and green vomit and sulfur smoke the Devil himself could demonstrate.  People on that side of the fence tattoo swastikas on their necks after all.

But as the shutdown continues and as the GOP has to rely on publicity stunts like Michelle Bachmanns at the WWII memorial, the bailouts will continue. With each family ruined by lack of health care, with each family ruined by the furlough, with each business bankrupted by Republican spite, the "Base" will shrink.  Were an election held today, it would hardly be a tea party for the Tea Party and tomorrow could be worse.

Of course this being the Amnesiac States of America, who knows about 2014? 

8 comments:

  1. There are reasons people become Skeptics.

    ReplyDelete
  2. A good skeptic is good to have ... keeping true believers honest and on their toes ... until hunger, sleep, or other acts of nature over cometh.

    ReplyDelete
  3. The latest NBC/WSJ poll has worse-than-bad news for Republicans:

    53% of respondents blame Republicans more than the President (31%) for the shutdown – a 22-point spread;

    Only 24% have a favorable view of the GOP;

    Only 21% have a favorable view of the Pee Tardy;

    47% prefer a Democratic-controlled Congress (39% for Republicans);

    50% oppose de-funding of ObamaCare (up from 46% last month);

    70% say Republicans are putting politics first.


    Since the shutdown, it appears the GOP is now less popular than diarrhea, bubonic plague, and impotence.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Polls are interesting. Gallop also has the majority affixing blame to republicans

    At the same time President Obama has only a 37 percent favorable.

    Interesting.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is often said that Rasmussen polls need to be skewed 6-points towards the Democratic side to resemble anything approaching public opinion - Rasmussen is considered even more biased than Fox. Gallop may have been accurate yesterday, whereas the NBC/WSJ poll may be considered accurate today. My point: Polls capture a snapshot of public opinion that is always in motion. Nonetheless there appears to be a clear trend: The longer the shutdown lasts, the worse it gets for Republicans - and all polls, regardless of bias or sampling method, seem to agree.

      Delete
  5. If you scroll to the very bottom of this page, you will find that even Faux News pegs Obama's approval rating at 45% ... especially Foul News for the GOP.

    In politics, there is one phenomenon even more powerful than approval ratings - HUBRIS. It brings down the high and mighty every time!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. A poll by the AP on Oct. 9, 2013 indicated 53% disapprove and 37% approve. Leaving 10% apparently undecided.

      Poll are as you say, fluid. I generally stay away from FOX News polls at this point.

      As you likely are aware I posted data and links from two polls this week, Gallop and AP.

      Perhas I should return to FOX? :-)

      Delete
  6. People have the right not to like Obama. They have the right to shout that health care reform is "just like Hitler" and as CNN is headlining this morning "like a return to slavery" but I don't have to have any respect or affection for this stupid, petty and unworthy collection of misbegotten vermin they call the USA.

    This country doesn't deserve it. Let it die. There are other places.

    ReplyDelete

We welcome civil discourse from all people but express no obligation to allow contributors and readers to be trolled. Any comment that sinks to the level of bigotry, defamation, personal insults, off-topic rants, and profanity will be deleted without notice.