Monday, October 11, 2010

Does The Middle Still Matter?

I actually wrote this blog post below when I was home in the US over the summer and fully exposed to American politics. Keep in mind that prior to that, it had been a good 2 years since I was fully immersed in the wonderfully chaotic intenseness that is the American political system. Now after being back in Europe for a couple of months (while continuing to follow the next round of elections...we always seem to be voting in America), I'm wondering if what I wrote a few months ago still holds true: does the middle still matter? For the sake of America, I certainly hope so. Original post below:

My political beliefs are a bit of a hodgepodge. In general, I’m a middle-of-the-road person, not terribly prone to extremes on either side of the political spectrum. Since I find that most political issues are too nuanced to simply come down hard as a righty or a lefty, I generally tend to reside somewhere in the middle and normally refer to myself as a moderate (not a “fence straddle” as one of my friends put it). There are of course several exceptions to my moderate views (I have both liberal and conservative tendencies…just ask me my views on abortion or fiscal responsibility if you want to see how I make the conservative and the liberal peacefully co-exist in my mind), but for the most part I’m firmly in the middle. Which, for me is an awesome and interesting place to be.

As Congressional races heat up and the claws come out, I’m starting to wonder if my old political mantra still rings true. What is my political mantra you ask? The middle matters. In my rather limited time as a voting adult (10 years and counting baby!), I can’t think of too many political campaigns (with the notable exception of some local GA races) where appealing exclusively to one’s hard right or hard left (or hard Libertarian/Green/Independent) base actually resulted in a victory. Sure politicians need to secure their party base. And if you happen to live in a congressional district that has a sh*t ton of folks from you’re party’s base, then you’re golden.

But let’s consider for a second something a bit large, such as a national political contest. Let's say Sarah Palin, for example, decides to run for president (*shudder*). Sure she’s very popular with her hard right conservative base. But that doesn’t mean jack sh*t. Those numbers aren’t enough to get a majority of the votes (I hope). And the hard lefties wouldn’t vote for her regardless of what she says or does. She would need to be able to convince those moderates like myself that she wouldn’t bring about one of the following: World War III and/or Armageddon/the Apocalypse. Frankly I’m not convinced she wouldn’t. Joking, joking (not really).

The same rings true for President Obama when he runs for re-election. His hardcore supporters will vote for him regardless (I mean unless he does something like turn into the second coming of Ronald Reagan and even then I'm pretty sure I can find some liberals who would vote for him). Those vehemently opposed to him (I’m looking at you Tea Party and Take Back America crowds) wouldn’t vote for him anyway (even if he out-Reaganed Reagan). So where would he pick up the needed votes? In the middle with us moderates (and I’ll go ahead and throw the undecided in there as well).

The same basic principle applies to the upcoming Congressional elections as well. Sure Rand Paul and Christine O'Donnell managed to win their respective primaries with their base of Libertarian and/or Tea Party supporters. But that alone won't necessarily be enough to carry them through the doors of Congress. They need to convince us pesky fence-straddlers moderates that they're up to the job.

But now I fear that with a crappy economy, a crappy housing market and pissed off people looking for an easy target to scapegoat blame that the middle, as so often happens during political campaigns, will be ignored…at least by the mainstream media. Too often the focus is on the more diehard left/right voters. Rarely will you hear a sound bite from moderate, middle-of-the-road voters. Instead he who can shout the loudest with the most extreme viewpoint is more likely to get airtime (and in the case of political pundits, get paid handsomely for it). Perhaps it’s more entertaining to watch polar opposites argue on political points that they’ll never agree on. But for me, I’d prefer to see some moderates have an honest discussion on the nuances of government policy and do something radical...like come to a compromise and resolve it. But I suspect Glenn Beck will retire his blackboard and stop crying on cue air while renouncing his fanboy devotion to Sarah Palin while voting for Obama before that happens.

Thoughts?

P.S. For my fellow Americans abroad: don't forget to request your absentee ballot for the upcoming elections. Don't know how? Well click this link...unless you plan on voting for a Tea Party candidate...I kid, I kid. No but seriously, don't click that link if you're going to squander your vote on the Tea Party.

P.P.S. Before I get any comments accusing me of "not getting" the Tea Party/Take Back America crowds or being a mindless liberal/progressive/communist/socialist/nazi/facist (actually, if you accuse me of the latter, you clearly weren't paying attention to the blog post...but I digress), trust me when I say I've done my homework on both. Don't believe me? Check out the following posts:
An Open Letter to Tea Parties/Anti-Big Government Crowd
Random Musing on Tea Parties
Taking Back America
Tea Party! An(other) Open Letter


Cross-posted from American Black Chick in Europe.

13 comments:

  1. The United States was always unique because of the fact that our political opinion was a bell shaped curve: With most Americans being in the center or as you say, moderates.

    Thus you ended up with candidates who would move to the middle once elected and for the most part then reaching a consensus or achieving bipartisanship was not a problem even on major issues such as civil rights and the war on poverty.

    But those were the days when public opinion drove politics and what you have right now is fulltime staff who do nothing but drive public opinion...which in turns drive politics.

    Elections and politicing is now a 24/7 enterprise that goes 365 days a year.

    We are bombarded constantly with all sorts of "news" and it never lets up....none of which has anything to do with GOVERNING and everything to do with ELECTIONEERING....

    We used to campaign, elect and then govern....now its campaigining constantly.

    Because of this there are no moderates any longer. Everyone becomes a partisan.

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  2. I fear TAO, you may be correct, although I continue to hope...

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  3. The middle does matter, because I do believe that they are the majority.. 'the busy majority' and Jon Stewart calls us.. or them.. not sure where I fall. Not hard core, but certainly not at the top of that bell curve. We live in hard times.

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  4. ABCiE,

    Yes, I think people who are situated somewhere between left and right matter electorally. They matter a great deal. It's hard to process sometimes, but I suspect that the very survival of a representative form of government here in the States is a matter of a small-percentage swing to the left or right. At some point, if there's a large enough minority of ignorant, mean-spirited goons, the fact that they're not the majority may cease to matter. (Any raving moron who manages to get a GOP nomination is probably going to get something like 45% of the vote simply by party affiliation.) They just need to pull enough otherwise rational people with them due to despair or confusion or indifference, or yell loud enough to discourage some of those people from voting. Then they have an effective majority, or maybe a "governing minority," and we end up becoming a theocratic police state even though most of us don't want to live in that kind of society.

    I also think that while there is an American far right worthy of the description, there's hardly a left that deserves the title these days. There hasn't been one for decades. So the term "middle" may have lost some of its descriptiveness unless we're only situating ourselves in terms of ideal characterizations rather than on-the-ground political realities. These days, I suppose, anyone who believes that the earth is spherical and more than 6,000 years old and that our president isn't a Kenyan communist probably qualifies as a moderate, so we may need another term for people who are genuinely rational and educated but by no means interested in anything radical.

    By the way, as for the teabaggers, I think it was Elizabeth who pointed us toward Matt Taibbi's piece on those dreadful creatures, and I would certainly agree with Taibbi (if memory serves correctly here) that if there's one word to describe them, it just has to be "narcissist." As in, "All government programs are bad, except the ones that help ME ME ME! If they help anybody else, they're 'socialism.'"

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  5. Lets see, Americans are dissatisfied with Democrats in Congress and to voice their dissatisfaction they are going to vote for Republicans; the one group that they dislike MORE than Democrats!

    Thats really logical!

    Truthfully, I think the issue of right vs. left with moderates in the middle is so 20th century.

    I believe what we are witnessing is a total shift in politics from left vs. right to the powerful vs. the powerless.

    Nothing in this election is about positions or vision of the future...its all about emotions. That is what is lost on most liberals about the Tea Party Movement. No matter how you try you have to acknowledge that everything that has been done by government over the last two years is not a whole lot different than what GWB did. Bailed out Wall Street, Stimulated something but it wasn't the economy, Financial reform, heatlh care reform, and something called consumer finance reform.

    Wall Street does what it wants and gets what it wants, the Pentagon does what it wants and gets what it wants, the oil spill showed everyone exactly how weak our government really is and it makes no difference if the president is a democrat or a republican.

    Then of course you have DADT....figure that one out if you can...

    Yet nothing changed....and it won't change because their is no left or right any longer....just the powerful and the powerless.

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  6. I have to keep agreeing with TAO and I have no idea what right or left actually mean in Newspeak.

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  7. Motivation and commitment.

    That and an actual 24/7 'news' network working day and night on their behalf enables the Tea party to exert an enormous influence on the election campaign regardless of what their actual numbers may be.

    These folks vote. And far too many in the 'middle' do not. These folks take the time to 'inform' themselves on their issues (yes, memorizing a couple of key talking points counts). Far too many in the middle cannot be bothered.

    All the information in the world but far too many of us prefer it pre-masticated, opting for 'analysis' and 'opinion' served up in tasty bites during 30 minute 'news' programs.

    Frankly it takes a bit of effort to become an informed citizen and I'm afraid too many of us just can't be bothered to spend the time necessary.

    Frankly, I don't hold a lot of hope for much of a contribution from the middle.

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  8. Hardly a day passed after returning from my trip, and a fatiguing 13-hour non-stop drive, when a GOP canvasser came to my door soliciting on behalf of the local Congressional candidate. Immediately, the spiel started with how the democrats are destroying the country and why I should read the GOP talking points pamphlet, which I refused to accept as one shuns the plague.

    Just as immediately, I went ballistic over the bigotry, racism, anti-Hispanic, homophobic, and Islamophobic hysteria of GOP wedge politics designed to polarize and abuse the electorate; and how the same kind of bigotry and hysteria murdered my ancestors; and why the GOP are nothing more than a gang of Nazis who want to privatize social security and Medicare, eliminate the EPA and FDA, end minimum wage and worker safety standards, prohibit gays and single women from teaching school, and turn the country into a banana republic; and then I yammered about the lets-bring-back-segregation candidate from Kentucky, the lets-shoot-Harry Reid candidate from Nevada, the stupid not-a-witch candidate from Delaware, the email-bestiality candidate from New York, and the Nazi-cross-dressing candidate from Ohio; then I started a verbal tirade over the secret plan by the GOP to disenfranchise minority voters in Chicago

    … before I slammed the door. As one of those mild-mannered, in-the-middle voters, can you imagine what I might have done if I were one of those radical extremists!

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  9. Yep, some poor schmuck knocked on the wrong door today didn't they Octy? :)

    I am sure they thanked you for the education and immediately threw down all their pamphlets and switched parties!

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  10. That GOP canvasser was shocked ... SHOCKED! ... that anyone in the neighborhood would dare to disagree, or at least take that filthy pamphlet with an even filthier "Thank you, very much."

    Rude or not, the time is long overdue to throw a tea party temper tantrum back at them. And I have only just begun!

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  11. ABCiE, I agree with your perception that the Middle still matters. I think that much of what gives so many of us pause is that technology has made the world so much smaller. When I was in my 20s, I didn't have access to what people outside of my own geographic location were thinking. The national news reported on national events deemed to be of importance to us all. There was a clear distinction between eitorial opinion and news. Talk shows had celebrities who talked about their careers and showed pictures of their children. Mike Douglas was the epitome of a day time talk show host and Merv Griffin was the crown prince. Carson held the night time allure.

    My point is that I don't think that America is any more polarized than it has always been, it's just that it's a whole lot easier to connect with those who think like you. Media has become more like a circus with a focus on selling the most tickets rather than objectively reporting news. Thus the media behaves exactly as you describe, always searching for the sound byte that will garner the most attention (higher ratings). The Tea Party is better entertainment than moderate, rational debate on real issues.

    I still fear the extreme right because if the moderate middle checks out and stays home on election day, then the crazies could take over the asylum.

    I'm on the far left end of the continuum. I don't recall ever being anyting other than a leftist liberal. When I was 16, my father asked me not to spout my communist rhetoric around his friends any more. I wasn't a communist, but I'd just read Marx and I was committed to socialism, still am. However, I don't expect real world politics to conform to my standards and I look for points of compromise with which I can live.

    I very much enjoyed reading your post.

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  12. This two party system would reveal both sides agenda are about debt propagation and perpetual war.

    Corporate hypocrisy clowns should have zero party members.

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  13. ABCiE - I have always thought of myself as a middle/moderate. I have been told I don't count because I am "straddling the fence" but that's not true. I have conservative(as in conservation) leanings toward fiscal and environmental matters.
    I lean to the right on gun issues but I lean to left on the abortion issue. So I do take sides just not always the same one.
    I have often thought that we middlin' folk are the true silent majority in this country. The question do we still matter may be of more significance in this political season like no other before it.

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