Friday, October 5, 2012

Lies and consequences

I think there's a kind of hysteresis in politics.  You get a certain effect from telling a bold lie, but you don't lose nearly all that gain by retracting it, so it pays to lie.  You may gain 100,000 votes by saying your opponent is a cannibal, but if you only lose 30 or 40 thousand when you admit "I was wrong to say that" why not keep lying?  There's no limit to how many you can tell and a good part of the public, who really wanted to hear bad things about the other side will tell themselves you were forced to retract it by "the liberals" and it's really true - he's a cannibal from the dark jungles of Kenya. It pays to lie even when you get caught. It doesn't hurt to say one thing to one group and another thing to another. You may actually gain support from people who will think you're being a big man for correcting yourself and will forget that you deliberately lied, deliberately tried to cash in on the meanest and nastiest and most dishonest impulses of the public to get votes.

No matter how much the candidate lies, we can count on the fact that the public is as least as dishonest with themselves and often far more so.  If one tells one's family that taking a pay cut won't add to the family debt, one has a tough sell, but the candidate is talking to people who want to believe they would be much better off  if their personal tax load were lightened and so they will listen eagerly and listen dismissively when the truth is explained. Tell them their taxes are actually lower than ever and they won't listen. Show them that nearly everybody pays 25 to 30 percent of what they earn and they'll put their hands over their ears and chant liberaliberaliberal.  I think this is why the Romney ad I heard this morning on TV could get away with claiming that an independent study proved that Obama planned to tax the average Joe an extra $4000 next year ( and presumably by executive fiat. )  Not one of his likely supporters will bother to check any facts that support their beliefs.  First comes the distrust and anger and dislike, and then the reasons we tell ourselves and others. What we want to hear is what we hear and when we hear it, we stop listening further.

So Romney may substantially reduce any loses he suffered by his 47% gaffe by admitting he was "Completely wrong."  Takes a big man, after all and of course, we all know that there are still huge numbers of loafers and leeches and welfare queens driving Caddies -- enough to cause us to scrap any attempts at helping people become productive again, keeping children from falling hopelessly into inextricable cycles of crime and poverty and disease by using MY HARD EARNED MONEY that all belongs to ME and of course NOBODY EVER GAVE ME ANYTHING. And isn't it annoying that we have to be so "politically correct" and just like we can't say Merry Christmas any more we can't call 'these people' by our traditional words?  I mean traditional values mean something.

4 comments:

  1. Capt. Fogg,

    I think old Fred Nietzsche would agree: ideas are usually just a cover for feelings. When you hear a biased opinion, you're "hearing' a deeply irrational feeling papered over with the language of reason, statistics, measured maturity, and so forth.

    Well, anyhow, the jobs numbers are out and I'd say they pretty much seal Mr. Obama's re-election, provided that he gets out there and campaigns vigorously. A few good debate performances wouldn't hurt, either. But I think the below 8% unemployment rate will be enough to carry him through to Nov. 6th. It allows him to say, "things aren't great, but they're starting to look up, so there's no need to make a risky change."

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  2. As long as nobody tries that old Nixonism about changing horses in mid stream. Still, I have no faith and I suspect that it's not about employment. After all the Republicans have been telling us that government has nothing to do with job creation and that the loss of 800,000 jobs a month had nothing to do with President Cheneybush and the "debt doesn't matter" mantra.

    And Obama is still black.

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  3. I hadn't thought it through as to why Romney's apology didn't seem to be of any significance. Thanks Captain for making it clear as to why Romney lies and then offers an apology. Lies are effective and they produce results. The public is easily misled. Dare I say that there are a lot of folks who prefer lies because as Jack bellows in A Few Good Men, they "...can't handle the truth."

    I also concur that it's not about employment. It's going to be a bumpy ride to election day.

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  4. It most certainly is about the economy -- perhaps not for the irrational chuckleheads who already support Romney, but for everyone else, the fact that the economy is improving shreds the entire premise of Romney's campaign. He can lie all he wants, and his idiotic pals can question the numbers out of thin air, but the narrative now works in Obama's favor. They can't change that in the next thirty days. Romney has had his brief moment in the sun during the first debate. It's all downhill for him from here on out.

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