Monday, January 18, 2010

On the Upcoming Vote in Massachusetts

One storied state among fifty has a big choice to make Tuesday, and it goes beyond an appraisal of the two senatorial candidates' personalities and campaigning skills. From the way it sounds to me outside Massachusetts, the Coakley campaign has for too long taken for granted what should have been fought for as a matter of principle even if losing seemed impossible. After all, voters don't owe anyone their vote. Scott Brown has shown energy and enthusiasm, and he has therefore done a better job, at least, of asking for the votes that might sweep him into office. A successful politician needs to engage with people, not avoid them.

Still, as I see things, there's just too much riding on this vote for Massachusetts to choose Brown. Hasn't he already pledged to oppose the current health-care legislation? Maybe the Democrats will push the bill through with lightning speed if he wins. I don't know, but I'm not optimistic. And what is Brown's stance on how to deal with abuses on Wall Street and at the big banks? Voting Republican will reduce the Democratic Senate supermajority of 60 to 59, and if that happens, it's hard to see how there will be any further movement on the president's agenda throughout 2010. With the 2010 elections and the likely loss of at least a moderate number of Democratic seats in the House and Senate, there's no reason to think much will get done from 2010 through 2012, either. What I see is an opposition party determined to quash anything and everything this president does, no matter what.

Does anybody not already far to the right really believe that voting Republican will improve matters? I don't see the logic in it: "The Dems are having trouble getting things done with sixty votes, so let's take a vital one away from them and see if that helps." It won't help. Coakley will support the president, and if you're a Democrat or a pragmatic Independent, how can you conclude that a move towards re-empowering the false conservatism that has done real harm to America can improve the situation? It's possible to argue one way or the other about Obama's policies, but anyone who thinks he is responsible for our current economic predicament is mistaken. Marring his efforts so early in his term isn't sensible.

One half of one branch of our government – I mean the Senate as half of the legislative branch – has become all but a burial ground of the nation's hopes for a sustainable market economy and much else. They are only able to act for the present time because of that sixty-vote majority; take that away, and, I suspect, all we will have in the Senate is one hundred wealthy, well-dressed people doing nothing for the next several years—even if strong and immediate action is necessary. A once quaint-seeming rule (sixty votes for cloture to facilitate an up-down vote) has become an engine of destruction pointed straight at the republic's well-being and even its viability, whatever the intentions of those who wield that engine may be. What's the use of crippling an administration that is at least trying to make some rational changes? Things can get worse—they almost always can. This may be one of the most important votes the people of Massachusetts have cast in a long time. All politics may be local at base, but sometimes local and statewide politics have huge consequences for us all.

15 comments:

  1. Brown lacks any positive program; his platform is 100% about obstructionism. Neither he nor his followers have any new ideas about solving our great problems, just old ideas that have failed or, for many, a sense that no solution is possible. This is a New American Nihilism that seems alien to our more customary optimism.

    But it is powerful and dangerous. Democrats were wrong to take this election for granted and should learn that this is the case for every election. Every election will be contested and why not? that's democracy.

    Progressives (or liberals, or whatever you wanna call us) should welcome every fight since it gives us a chance to work together and strengthen our community. DLC-types have been expert in snatching defeat from the jaws of victory and, while I hope Coakley wins, at the very least we can hope progressives learn from this race that we must fight every time.

    (We should have learned this from Dr. Dean's 50-state strategy in 2006; remember when Foley of Florida collapsed politically shortly before the election, we could pick up his seat because we had a candidate who was fighting what had previously seemed a hopeless race. But the DLC doesn't seem to understand any of that stuff; Hillary's failed nomination was a wonderful example of how careers are built on losing.)

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  2. rewinn,

    Yes -- a species of nihilism is exactly what we are confronted with. The pols who are most culpable in stirring up the Teabaggers et al. would rather curse others in the darkness than light a candle, and of course they have the potential to carry millions of confused, angry people with them.

    I agree with your other main point too -- Democrats need to shape a new kind of populism and fight for it: one that in the first instance recognizes the deep disjunction between the financial sector's interests and practices and the welfare of the country as a whole. Sensible, strong reform is needed there. If the Obama Admin and the Democrats don't strategize around that issue, I think, they'll get trounced in November. More appeals to "bipartisanship" with a pack of cynical thugs, and we're sunk. Increasingly, I think President Obama is getting that point now that the right has utterly stonewalled him on health care. They wouldn't support health care reform if the Almighty descended from the clouds dressed in hospital scrubs and personally ordered them to vote yes.

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  3. rewinn: No doubt about the American Nihilism part, and we certainly know what came after the Weimar regime. What Dino warns about obstructionist politics will, certainly and regrettably, turn out to be the case.

    One observation to make: During the Bush administration, the election campaign did not stop at the front door of the White House. It continued through most of his two terms. These days, it is not enough to win. One must repeat over and over the slogans and core values of the campaign and constantly reinforce those messages. The public quickly forgets what they voted for. And, it seems, the candidate soon forgets unless constantly engaged.

    While I understand our new president had a full plate of dire emergencies to juggle, I also believe the administration fell down on messaging and are now paying the price.

    Framing is important, and I don't think the Democrats understand this. For instance, the Authoritarian Daddy Party of the Republicans should be taken to task for being the "Deadbeat Dad" party ... for neglecting the economy, infrastructure, energy and environmental policy, healthcare reform, and financial services reform. The message should have been reframed: The time is overdue for the "Deadbeat Dads" to meet their obligations.

    Instead, the Democrats came across as bewildered in the face of nihilists.

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  4. Let be rephrase it this way: The antidote for nihilism is to offer a a powerful ethical, moral, and social message.

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  5. I'm sorry to report that the latest Massachusetts polls show Independents going for Brown by 60%.

    How Independents, who voted overwhelmingly for Mr. Obama in 2008, can turn around and support a Bush Republican is beyond me. Why return to the party that got us into this mess, the party of obstructionism and NO!?

    The Obama administration made a horrible mistake on this one by not lighting a fire under Coakley and insisting that she go out and fight hard for this seat.

    I know it ain't over 'til it's over, but I live in Boston, and from what I've observed, it looks like it's over.

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  6. It is only January and the vote isn't until November, right?
    I'd say Dems need to get to work turning those numbers around and Coakley should get some coaching from Hillary.
    The fight is far from over unless the Dems lie down.
    Early in the primary season, Obama was a long shot and now he is President, proving it can be accomplished.
    It is still Coakley's to win or lose.

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  7. Oops! Just realized the vote is today and NOT November - who the hell votes in January?
    This does not bode well for Mass or the country.
    The Democrats have not shown the kind of spirit and backbone I'd have expected from the majority party.
    Rigt now, I'm sick of politics and all the dirty games that go with it.

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  8. I notice that Brown did a very good job of disquising and hiding the fact that he is running as a Republican...

    It is not on any of his campaign signs...

    He appears to want to be seen as an Independent...

    Then he is collecting all these funds from conservative groups, who's values he has absolutely no desire to support.

    Thus, you just have to laugh: Laugh at the fact that the Republicans will claim a victory if Brown wins even though he went out of his way to hide the fact that he is a Republican.

    The conservatives will rant in glee about their values winning if Brown wins and he will become a moderate once in office.

    ....and liberals will hopefully learn.......

    Not real sure what the lesson is from this except that Americans are a different people than what they were back in the 60's....

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  9. What the voters will have bought if they vote for Brown is false populism -- very effective if the opposition runs on autopilot.

    I don't know how it's going to turn out today -- I've noticed the cable shows are pretty much in smug post-mortem phase, which is premature. We shall see.

    As I wrote yesterday, win or lose the Democrats need to get some true-populist religion because the people are in no mood for timid candidates. I think the president will take that lesson, but of course the trouble lies with so-called moderates in congress, who are quite likely to start talking like Republicans. Exactly the wrong thing to do for a painfully obvious reason--given a choice between a fake Republican and a real one, people will choose the real one, even if he or she puts them out on the streets policy-wise.

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  10. And what is Brown's stance on how to deal with abuses on Wall Street and at the big banks?

    -----------------------

    Well I'm guessing they are just about the same as Larry Summers' and his cabana boy Timmy Geithner's.

    Voting for Brown might be the only way to get it through that thick head of Obama's that it's time to stop working out with Twinkletoes Emanuel and get of his arse and get to work.

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  11. So .... vote for the obstructionist Republican to send Barack a message, eh? That's your argument? I'll pass, for the reasons suggested in my initial post.

    Of course the Admin, if they lose that seat in MA, will need to realize that they must get out front of people's ire, not ignore it or attribute it entirely to crazy teabaggers or tea-partiers (or whatever new British slang term they've unwittingly adopted this week) or talk foolishness about bipartisanship. You're at least right that anger about the financial sector is a big factor here -- the Obama Admin is not perceived as taking that on strongly, and unless that perception changes, it will be very destructive to their prospects. It will also be harmful to the country because the opposition that stands to win is much, much worse -- I just don't think you're factoring that in.

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  12. Ducky, if the government were broken before the MA runoff, it will now be broken by one more Senate vote.

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  13. Moments ago ... a concession speech (and (O)CT(O)PUS is inking the aquarium).

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  14. Did someone lose an election? I've been listening to WHRB and Elegy on the death of Mr. Shenstone by Thomas Augustine Arne (seems appropriate, no?) and sipping some elite liberal chardonnay.

    Much better on the nerves.

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  15. I like your taste in music, although I'm not sure why William Shenstone ever found a publisher.

    I made do with Lemonade, cheese doodles and Purcell anchored in my favorite lagoon, contemplating the end of America.

    Got a bit too much sun.

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